An Open-Source Machine Learning Framework for GRACE based River Discharge Estimation and Applicability Analysis


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Owners: Bhavya Duvvuri
Type: Resource
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Created: Feb 11, 2025 at 1:06 a.m.
Last updated: Feb 11, 2025 at 1:46 a.m.
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Abstract

This study explores the application of advanced machine learning techniques for hydrologic modeling, focusing on predicting global river discharges using satellite-derived Total Water Storage Anomalies (TWSA) data. We address three key challenges: (1) regionalizing conceptual hydrologic model parameters, (2) predicting spatial applicability of TWSA-discharge relationships, and (3) identifying temporal windows where these relationships can be used.
For parameter regionalization, we compare Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Gradient Boosting (GB), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). GPR outperforms other methods, achieving R² values of 0.96 and 0.89 for the two required model parameters, respectively, on the test data. For predicting spatial applicability, XGBoost demonstrates superior performance with a macro-averaged F1 score of 0.73 on the test data. For temporal applicability, Random Forests and Extra Trees Classifiers show comparable performance, both achieving F1 scores of approximately 0.75.
To support these tasks, we developed an open-source tool that integrates processed TWSA data with preloaded regionalized model outputs, enabling users to generate discharge estimates at gauge locations interactively. This work contributes to hydrologic modeling by demonstrating the effectiveness of machine learning in handling complex, non-linear relationships in large-scale hydrologic systems and providing interpretable results that can inform water resource management strategies.

Coverage

Spatial

Coordinate System/Geographic Projection:
WGS 84 EPSG:4326
Coordinate Units:
Decimal degrees
North Latitude
71.8500°
East Longitude
177.8760°
South Latitude
-46.2370°
West Longitude
-163.6770°
Leaflet Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors

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Data Services

The following web services are available for data contained in this resource. Geospatial Feature and Raster data are made available via Open Geospatial Consortium Web Services. The provided links can be copied and pasted into GIS software to access these data. Multidimensional NetCDF data are made available via a THREDDS Data Server using remote data access protocols such as OPeNDAP. Other data services may be made available in the future to support additional data types.

How to Cite

Duvvuri, B., E. Beighley (2025). An Open-Source Machine Learning Framework for GRACE based River Discharge Estimation and Applicability Analysis, HydroShare, http://www.hydroshare.org/resource/eaa1ee2754ad4cef8415ae7a57a1ced6

This resource is shared under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY.

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
CC-BY

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